Almost nobody loses money to a scam they had never heard of. They lose it to a scam they had heard of, in a week when they were busy, on an order that felt routine.
That is worth saying plainly, because fraud in China sourcing gets discussed as though it were mysterious. It is not. There are a small number of patterns, they have been running for years, and each one has a single moment where it either succeeds or dies. Knowing where that moment falls is more useful than any amount of general caution.
One thing first, because it matters. The overwhelming majority of Chinese suppliers are legitimate businesses that want repeat orders and behave accordingly. Fraud is a minority problem. But it is concentrated at exactly the point where a first-time buyer is most exposed — the first transfer to a company they have never met — which is why it does so much damage relative to how often it happens.
The short version
- In 2025, business email compromise alone accounted for USD 3.05 billion in reported losses (FBI Internet Crime Complaint Center, 2025 Internet Crime Report).
- Hong Kong was the single most common international destination for fraudulent wire transfers reported to the FBI that year, with mainland China also in the top six.
- Every pattern below is stopped by one of four controls: verify before the deposit, confirm bank details by voice, seal a reference sample, inspect before the balance.
- The controls cost a small fraction of an order. The failures cost the order.
What the numbers actually say
Fraud against importers is not a niche risk, and the largest single category is not a fake factory — it is a real supplier whose email has been compromised.
Those figures come from complaints filed in the United States, so they undercount the rest of the world considerably — most African importers have nowhere comparable to file. Treat them as the visible portion of a much larger pattern, and note what the pattern is: the money moves by wire, to Asian beneficiary accounts, after an email said it should.
The five patterns, and the moment each one dies
1. The company that was never there
The oldest pattern and the simplest. A listing, a competitive price, warm and fast communication, an invoice, a deposit — then silence. The company either never existed or existed only as a registration with no premises and no production.
Where it dies: before the deposit. A business licence check plus a look at the registration record costs very little and takes days. If the company was registered four months ago with minimal capital and a trading-only scope, you know before you pay.
2. The bank account switch
This is the pattern behind those FBI numbers, and it is the one that catches experienced buyers rather than beginners. You have ordered from this supplier before. The email comes from the address you have always used, or from one character different. It explains that the company account has changed — an audit, a tax restructuring, a bank consolidation. The invoice looks exactly like every previous invoice, because it usually is a previous invoice with the account details edited.
The money goes to a beneficiary account, frequently in Hong Kong, and is moved onward within hours. Recovery is rare.
Where it dies: at the moment of payment, and only there. No bank detail change is ever accepted on the strength of an email or a message. You call a person you have already spoken to, on a number you already had before the request arrived, and you hear them confirm it out loud.
A bank change request to refuse
- Arrives by email or chat and asks for the change to be applied immediately
- The reason is administrative and slightly vague — audit, restructuring, new bank
- The new account is in a different country, or a personal name, or a company name that is not quite the supplier's
- Follow-up messages press on timing: the production slot, the price validity, the shipping date
How a real change is handled
- You initiate the check, using a number you held before the request
- The person who confirms is someone you have already dealt with by voice
- The account name matches the registered company name exactly, character for character
- Nobody objects to a two-day delay while you verify, because a real supplier expects you to
3. The phantom factory
A trading company presents a factory it does not own. The photographs are real, the video call is real, the building is real — it simply belongs to someone else. Some go further and arrange a visit to premises they have borrowed for the afternoon.
Where it dies: at verification, when the registered address on the licence is compared against the premises you were shown, and when the registered scope is compared against what you were told is happening in the building. Mismatches here are decisive.
4. The bait and switch
The sample is excellent. The production run is not. Material thickness drops, a component is substituted, the finish changes, the stitching density falls. Individually the changes are small; together they turn a sellable product into stock you cannot move.
This one is rarely a criminal operation. More often it is a supplier protecting a margin they quoted too thin, hoping the difference will not be noticed until the goods are far away.
Where it dies: with a signed, dated, sealed reference sample held by both sides, and an inspection during production rather than after it. Without a sealed sample there is no agreed standard, and a quality dispute becomes one opinion against another.
5. The short shipment
Quantities do not match the packing list. Cartons at the back of the container are filled with lower-grade stock, or partially filled, or empty. By the time the discrepancy surfaces in a Juba warehouse, the balance has been paid and the leverage is gone.
Where it dies: at the pre-shipment inspection, where cartons are counted and opened at random from across the whole batch rather than from the pile presented by the factory. What actually happens during a pre-shipment quality inspection walks through how that sampling works.
The rule that covers all five
Every pattern above depends on money moving before a fact is checked. Reverse that order and most of the risk disappears.
Three habits do most of the work:
- Verify the company before the deposit, not after the goods are late
- Confirm banking details by voice, every time they change, with no exceptions for urgency
- Keep a sealed reference sample and inspect against it before releasing the balance
Urgency is the common thread in the failures. Every one of these patterns includes pressure on timing — the price expires Friday, the production slot closes, the vessel sails Tuesday. A supplier who is genuinely trying to earn your repeat business will wait two days for you to check something. Treat manufactured urgency as information.
How Errandnese handles this
We check business licences and registration records, review export history, and visit premises where it matters — before any money moves. Where we coordinate payments, banking details are confirmed against the registered company name and verified directly with the supplier by voice, not by email. Verification starts from USD 99 per supplier, with a factory visit from USD 249, which is normally a fraction of a percent of the order it protects. Fees are indicative; we confirm before starting.
If you are mid-order and unsure
The most common message we get starts with "I have already paid the deposit and now they are not replying properly." Sometimes that is fraud. Often it is a factory behind schedule and avoiding a difficult conversation, which is recoverable if someone local picks up the phone in Chinese.
Either way, the fastest thing you can do is find out which one it is. Send us the supplier's details and what has happened so far, and we will tell you what the records show and what your options are.
Written by Makur Mangar
Makur is the founder of Errandnese. Originally from South Sudan and based in Guangzhou for around a decade, he works daily with the factories, markets and freight routes these articles describe.
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